Donald Trump has a clear path to the White House, according to a shocking new poll from SurveyUSA.
Trump beats Hillary Clinton 45 percent to 40 percent, with 16 percent of voters undecided.
He wins a huge share of the Democrats’ non-white base — 25 percent of African Americans, 31 percent of Hispanics and 41 percent of the relatively small Asian vote.
That’s a heart attack for the GOP establishment, which predicts that the arrival of even more low-wage foreign workers will yield more votes from low-wage Hispanics, and also more donations from the wealthy investors who pay the salaries of GOP consultants, pollsters, and advertising executives.
In contrast, Trump is committing GOP heresy by touting a border wall, some form of repatriation program for millions of American-trained undocumented migrant workers, and new curbs on middle-class outsourcing to the roughly 700,000 guest-workers used by Fortune 500 companies. Trump’s labor-supply reform would likely create jobs for Americans, raise wages, and lower profits, all of which might somehow, possibly, in an impossible-to-imagine-kinda-existential-pocketbook-process, boost his support among the lower-wage, often-jobless Americans who don’t own stock on Wall Street.
In 2012, the GOP’s establishment candidate, former Gov. Mitt Romney, won only 27 percent of Hispanics and a mere 6 percent of blacks, who are hit hardest by the bipartisan support for cheap, government-dependent migrants.
But Trump faces huge obstacles before he can reach the Oval Office — especially winning over the large undecided vote, which the polls says is at 16 percent. The SurveyUSA poll quizzed 1,000 Americans, including 900 registered voters, on September 2 and September 3. The poll shows no obvious skew for either candidate.
Still, the poll also shows that Trump reverses the long-standing sex-gap to +10 percent in his favor. That’s the combination of a 15-point advantage among men, and only a 5-point disadvantage among women. In contrast, Romney had a 7-point advantage among men, and a 11-point disadvantage among women, resulting in a -4-point sex-gap.
Clinton wins people younger than age 35 by a large 19 points, but Trump wins the three older demographic groups by roughly 15 points.
Trump wins four-year college grads by eight points, and people with some college by 13 points, leaving Clinton to take the high-school-only voters, 44 percent to 35 percent.
Trump wins swing-voting moderates, 42 percent to 38 percent.
Clinton wins the West by a scant 2 points, and the Northeast by only 4 points, but Trump wins the very important swing-voting Midwest by a huge margin — 49 percent to 31 percent.
Trump beats the Democrats’ B-team —
44 percent to 40 percent, Vice President Joe Biden by 44 percent to 42 percent, and former Vice President Al Gore by 44 percent to 41 percent.
And Trump hasn’t spent a penny on advertising so far.